German_Force » NOTE: Use this as your open thread to discuss today’s games.

The winning streak is over. 7-8 last week. It’s becoming official now that I will no longer change picks between when this posts on Thursday and when games kick off on Sunday regardless of injury news that comes out. I’ve only done that twice this year and I changed the pick from a win to a loss both times. No more.Remember these picks are strictly for fun and entertainment purposes and please for your sake do not take these picks as gambling advice. Lines used here come from the Westgate Las Vegas via OddsShark. Home team in CAPS.ARIZONA (+1.5) over DenverJosh Rosen has been better than the numbers would indicate due to his poor receiving corps and offensive line. In Rosen’s three starts http://www.giantslockerroom.com/authentic-eli-manning-jersey , the Cardinals have lost but have been significantly more competitive than they were with Sam Bradford. The talent of the Arizona defense has also started to creep through — they’re 10th in defensive DVOA. Denver is a team that has seen its defense start to fall off despite its superstars and the offense under Case Keenum has not inspired much confidence.[NOTE: Broncos 45, Cardinals 10 — Well, looks like the week didn’t start very well.]CHARGERS (-6.5) over TennesseeJust don’t bet on the Titans. They make no sense. When you think they’re good, they’re bad. When you think they’re bad, they’re good. Meanwhile, the Chargers are actually good. They have one of the best offenses in the league — third in standard down success rate and fourth in big play rate — with a defense that’s finally starting to catch on.New England (-3) over CHICAGOIt was just a few weeks ago when many were asking if the Patriots were in trouble. That was fun. The Patriots are still the Patriots and that means they should be able to find ways to score on the league’s best defense, even on the road. Even the New England defense is just below average — 19th in DVOA — instead of among the league’s worst like it was last season.Cleveland (+3) over TAMPA BAYFiring Mike Smith as defensive coordinator was the last line of defense for Buccaneers head coach Dirk Koetter. The Bucs have the worst defense in the league by just about any metric imaginable and the Browns offense has started to click with Baker Mayfield. I feel more comfortable with the Cleveland offense scoring on the Tampa Bay defense than the Tampa offense scoring on the Cleveland defense (sixth in defensive DVOA). 2018 is weird Kevin Zeitler Jersey , man.PHILADELPHIA (-4.5) over CarolinaThe Panthers are either the league’s worst good team or the league’s best bad team. Either way, they’re an enigma where the whole doesn’t always equal the sum of its parts. Philadelphia has been getting better on both side of the ball as the season has progressed. They’ll look more like the team we expected by the end of the year than they have to date. A home win over Carolina would be a good continuation after a win against the Vikings and a blowout of the Giants.Minnesota (-3) over JETSMinnesota is still weird. They’re only 21st in DVOA, but the offense is starting to catch on — at least through the air. An alarming number of Jets haven’t practiced this week, which isn’t a good outlook for Sunday even if some of them do get on the field. Detroit (-2.5) over MIAMIThe Dolphins should have lost to the Bears, Don’t let that game fool you, they didn’t play particularly well. Detroit also hasn’t been very good this season, but they’re not starting Brock Osweiler and the bigger the sample we get of Brock Osweiler at quarterback Womens Saquon Barkley Jersey , the more likely it is that he actually looks like Brock Osweiler at quarterback.INDIANAPOLIS (-7.5) over BuffaloThe Bills are so scared to start Nathan Peterson — who won their quarterback competition in the preseason — they’re starting Derek Anderson, who has been on the team for a week. Buffalo isn’t even hilariously bad anymore, it’s just kind of sad. Maybe still a little funny.JACKSONVILLE (-5) over HoustonJacksonville’s defensive line hasn’t been as dominant as it was last season — they only ninth in defensive pressure rate — but if there’s a team to face to turn that around, it’s the Houston Texans.The Jags got carved up by the Cowboys last week, but it’s hard to imagine that defense allowing big plays two weeks in a row.New Orleans (+2.5) over BALTIMOREBaltimore has one of the best defenses in the league, while the Saints have one of the best offenses. In these matchups, even outdoors http://www.giantslockerroom.com/authentic-b.j.-goodson-jersey , the offense usually has the advantage. Though the other side of the ball might decide the matchup. New Orleans’s defense has been bad and the Baltimore offense has been ok at times. This game should probably be closer to a pick’em, so let’s take the points.Dallas (+2) over WASHINGTONThese two teams have shown at any point they could look quite good or quite bad. It doesn’t even make sense when. Washington was playing pretty well until they ran into the Saints. Dallas was underwhelming until they tore up the Jacksonville defense. Again, these teams are pretty even 20th (Dallas) and 22nd (Washington) in DVOA, so we’ll take the slightly better team on the road with the points.Rams (-9.5) over SAN FRANCISCOA C.J. Beathard-led 49ers team made a Monday night shootout against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers really fun. But the Rams aren’t the Packers. This is an offense that’s first in yards per drive by a significant margin (nearly seven yards above No. 2 Kansas City) and it’s going to be much harder for the 49ers to get themselves into a shootout against the LA defense, even as that defense is still shaping up to what it’s supposed to be.KANSAS CITY (-6) over CincinnatiThere’s no more doubting the Patrick Mahomes-Andy Reid duo. If there’s a way a team could come out looking better after a loss, the Chiefs did that last Sunday night in New England. After a rough first half, the Chiefs made adjustments and got back in the game late. This pick isn’t a dig at Cincinnati — they’re pretty good (12th in DVOA) —but Kansas City is bordering on great (first in DVOA).ATLANTA (-5.5) over GiantsAs usual Aldrick Rosas Jersey , there will be a ton of coverage for this game on the site, so to keep it brief — what about the Giants season so far would cause you to pick them here?Last week: 7-8Season: 41-48-4 Giants co-owner John Mara spoke to reporters at Tuesday’s owners meeting and he held court on two topics having to do with the 1-5 teams that have been discussed often in recent weeks.One was wide receiver Odell Beckham‘s ESPN interview and Mara took the stance that he’d prefer Beckham “do a little more playing and a little less talking.” The other was quarterback Eli Manning‘s play so far in the 2018 season.Many have seen Manning’s play as a continuation of the struggles of recent seasons and confirmation that the team should have done more to find an alternative option for the 2018 season. Mara was steadfast about Manning being the right choice to run the offense all offseason and hasn’t changed his tune despite the generally horrid results thus far.“We still believe in him, but everybody needs to do their jobs in order for us to be successful, and right now ” Mara said, via Dan Graziano of ESPN.com.Mara gave former head coach Ben McAdoo the green light to bench Manning last season before reversing course and firing McAdoo after Geno Smith started and lost a game to the Raiders. He said Tuesday Womens Janoris Jenkins Jersey , via Judy Battista of NFL Media, that it is head coach Pat Shurmur’s call if they are going to make a change this season, but last year’s history suggests that Shurmur may be treading lightly when it comes to addressing the quarterback spot.