WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections San Diego Chargers Daily LinksSan Diego Chargers NewsSan Diego Chargers OffseasonSan Diego Chargers HistorySan Diego Chargers HumorThe 4th Down Bot Vs. 2018: Part OneNew Youth Uchenna Nwosu Jerseys ,5commentsHow did the Chargers fare in the most pivotal down in football last year?PSTShareTweetShareShareThe 4th Down Bot Vs. 2018: Part OneIf you missed the Prologue, you can read about the Rebirth of the 4th Down Bot HERE.For everyone else, we’re going to jump right in to the data to see how the LA Chargers did against the odds in 2018.First, let’s call the 4th Down Bot (ver 2.0)back over here so that we can look at the chart:The difference between Bot 1.0 and Bot 2.0 is a more aggressive push in the final minutes of each half. In all other matters, the above chart is identical for both modelsThis monster of pigskin and steel is bent on one ultimate goal: to maximize the gridiron’s most pivotal down. While that sounds nice and dandy Justin Jones Jerseys Stitched , the Bot’s methods are uncompromising and ruthlessly efficient. The good news is that modern football is aligning more and more with the Bot’s point of view, so clashes should be limited as more and more teams begin to utilize analytics to a greater degree. The first iteration of the 4th Down Bot did not take into account the game clock. The Professor fixed this with the second iteration, but those changes really only apply to the final 3 minutes and 45 seconds of each half. In short—the 4th Down Bot has research and historical data that proves that aggressive playcalling on 4th Down can pay off more often than not.Did Anthony Lynn take note?2018:Part One - Weeks 1-4Now let’s compare these stats with previous seasons!2018:Week 1: 4/7 (57.1%)Week 2: 3/6 (50.0%)Week 3: 6/6 (100.0%)* A 1/6 correction noted between bot 1.0 and 2.0!Week 4: 6/8 (75.0%)2018 1st Quarter season stats: 19/27 (70.3%) agreement2017:Week 1: 5/8 (62.5%)Week 2: 5/5 (100.0%)Week 3: 4/6 (66.6%)Week 4: 5/7 (71.4%)2017 1st Quarter season stats: 19/26 (73.0%) agreementAnd to further the comparison and contrast, we’re throwing in the last year before Anthony Lynn:2016:Week 1: 5/8 (62.5%)Week 2: 5/5 (100.0%)Week 3: 4/6 (66.6%)Week 4: 5/7 (71.4%)2016 1st Quarter season stats: 19/26 (73.0%) agreementAre you surprised by these results?As a numbers guy, I immediately am incredibly surprised that the amount of agreed plays was absolutely identical for the previous three years. That is Youth Rayshawn Jenkins Jerseys , in and of itself, a statistical anomaly. There being only one more 4th down play attempted in 2018 versus the previous two years is also astounding (and very nice for quality comparison!).Many think of Anthony Lynn as an aggressive coach: a loose cannon that could ‘go for two’ at any point. This exercise is ill-equipped to prove or disprove that notion. Instead, it illustrates whether or not coaches were more or less likely to follow good statistics for their 4th down calls. You might be tempted to think that, based on these results, Mike McCoy was unfairly vilified for his playcalling. I’ll leave you with this final roundup:2016 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 16 of 262017 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 16 of 262018 - 4th down calls within own field side (weeks 1-4): 14 of 27My interpretation of these numbers is that Anthony Lynn is actually learning from his experiences. While the first quarter of 2018 indicates that he slightly took his foot off of the gas on 4th down compared to 2017 Youth Craig Mager Jerseys , he’s still on the right side of the odds (the league average was 62.4% agreement in 2018).What’s more, the times that Lynn did not agree with the bot was when he decided he’d rather have points on the board or pin the other team rather deep and trust his defense.NEXT WEEK: Lynn Vs. the 4th Down Bot - 2nd Quarter 2018 (Weeks 5-9)-Jason “My Numbers are Dayed” Michaels Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers says he doesn’t need a new contract.Rivers, who is heading into the final year of his current deal, said today that he appreciates it if the Chargers re-sign him but he’d be content with playing the 2019 season and then heading into free agency in 10 months.“I’m thankful for that if that opportunity comes, but I’m fine right where we are Youth Derek Watt Jerseys ,” Rivers said. “I’m under no immediate stress or urgency to get this done. If that means playing it out, that will be fine. It really will.”Rivers isn’t asking for any kind of long-term commitment.“I’d be fine with it and we could look at it again in the early spring if that in fact is how it plays out,” Rivers said. “I really have no goal, or see it playing a certain way. I really don’t. I’m very at peace with where it is right now. I’m under contract this season and I’m excited for this team and our opportunities.”The 37-year-old Rivers, who has a cap hit this year of $23 million Nasir Adderley Los Angeles Chargers Jerseys , said that he isn’t sure how many years he has left in him, but he said he doesn’t think this will be his last season, nor does he think he could play until he’s 45 years old. So figure Rivers has somewhere between two and seven more years to play.